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Sat, 19 Sep 2026 — 14:15 UTC · San Mamés Stadium

FT 0 – 0

Empirical Poisson model

Home47%
Draw26%
Away27%

Expected Goals (xG): 1.5 – 1.0

Simulation Monte Carlo

Home39%
Draw21%
Away40%

Lineup: real (manually confirmed). Win/draw/loss validated in backtesting against real historical lineups — outperformed Empirical (Poisson)'s own calibration on the same fixtures (Brier 0.642 vs 0.647).

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-18%
  • 2-18%
  • 2-27%
  • 1-27%
  • 1-35%

Not validated — even with a real lineup, backtesting found these scorelines no better than simply guessing this league's usual scoreline. Exploration only.

Astrology Experimental

Entertainment Only
Home58%
Draw28%
Away14%

Entertainment only — no established predictive validity.

Independent cross-check

Compares the Simulation pillar's own most-likely outcome against API-Football's own, independently-computed /predictions output. Informational only — this never feeds back into Simulation's probabilities, any edge calculation, or any other pillar.

DISAGREES

Our Simulation

Home39%
Draw21%
Away40%

API-Football comparison.total

Home52%
Away48%

API-Football comparison.total: home 52.0% / away 48.0%

Mahabote (Myanmar traditional astrology) — research only

Not a prediction, and not part of the Empirical, Simulation, or Astrology (KP) pillars above — shown separately for research interest only. Backtested against 323 real match lineups and 178 fixtures using team founding dates: neither the weekday-pair "Friend/Enemy" comparison nor the Angaviddha 7-category classification showed any real, usable relationship with match outcomes (correlation ≈ 0, occasionally the wrong sign). Computed here from the two teams' own founding dates only.

ဤသည်မှာ ခန့်မှန်းချက် မဟုတ်ပါ၊ အထက်ပါ Empirical၊ Simulation၊ Astrology (KP) pillar များနှင့်လည်း မပတ်သက်ပါ — သုတေသနစိတ်ဝင်စားမှုအတွက်သာ သီးခြားဖော်ပြထားခြင်း ဖြစ်ပါသည်။ ပွဲအစစ် ၃၂၃ ပွဲ၏ ကစားသမားစာရင်းများနှင့် အသင်းတည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲအသုံးပြုသော ပွဲ ၁၇၈ ပွဲတို့ကို backtest လုပ်ကြည့်ခဲ့ရာ၊ "ရက်သတ္တပတ်-မိတ်ဆွေ/ရန်သူ" နှိုင်းယှဉ်ချက်ဖြစ်စေ Angaviddha ၇-အမျိုးအစား ခွဲခြားမှုဖြစ်စေ ပွဲရလဒ်များနှင့် တကယ်အသုံးဝင်သော ဆက်စပ်မှု မတွေ့ရှိခဲ့ပါ (correlation ≈ 0၊ တစ်ခါတစ်ရံ ဆန့်ကျင်ဘက်ပင် ဖြစ်တတ်ပါသည်)။ ဤနေရာတွင် နှစ်သင်းစလုံး၏ တည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲအပေါ်သာ အခြေခံ၍ တွက်ချက်ထားပါသည်။

Not yet computed

ဤပွဲအတွက် Mahabote ကို ယခုထိ တွက်ချက်မထားသေးပါ။

Player Stats

Full box score per player who featured in this match — tap a row for the detailed breakdown.

ATHLETIC CLUB

Aitor Paredes Aitor Paredes D 8.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating8.0
Pass success rate91%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes91
Key passes1
Pass success rate91%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Aymeric Laporte Aymeric Laporte D 7.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.9
Pass success rate89%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes92
Key passes—
Pass success rate89%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions2
Tackles4
Duels won7

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Ruíz de Galarreta Ruíz de Galarreta M 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.3
Pass success rate72%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled3

PASSING

Total passes82
Key passes2
Pass success rate72%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions2
Tackles3
Duels won12

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
Yuri Yuri D 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes86
Rating7.3
Pass success rate66%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target3
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes74
Key passes2
Pass success rate66%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles6
Duels won6

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Nico Williams Nico Williams M 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.2
Pass success rate30%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes38
Key passes3
Pass success rate30%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed4
Interceptions2
Tackles3
Duels won7

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Robert Navarro Robert Navarro M 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes75
Rating7.2
Pass success rate24%

ATTACKING

Shots on target2
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes29
Key passes1
Pass success rate24%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Jesús Areso Jesús Areso D 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes45
Rating7.2
Pass success rate37%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes40
Key passes1
Pass success rate37%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
Mikel Jauregizar Mikel Jauregizar M 7.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes62
Rating7.0
Pass success rate53%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes58
Key passes1
Pass success rate53%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions2
Tackles2
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Unai Simón Unai Simón G 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.9
Pass success rate21%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes22
Key passes—
Pass success rate21%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Álex Berenguer Álex Berenguer F 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes28
Rating6.9
Pass success rate16%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes20
Key passes2
Pass success rate16%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Peio Canales Peio Canales M 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes15
Rating6.9
Pass success rate20%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes21
Key passes1
Pass success rate20%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
J. Louis-Jean J. Louis-Jean D 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes45
Rating6.7
Pass success rate25%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes28
Key passes—
Pass success rate25%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions3
Tackles—
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
I. Williams I. Williams F 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes62
Rating6.3
Pass success rate4%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes5
Key passes—
Pass success rate4%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Maroan Sannadi Maroan Sannadi F 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes28
Rating6.3
Pass success rate2%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes3
Key passes—
Pass success rate2%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Nico Serrano Nico Serrano F 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes10
Rating6.3
Pass success rate2%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes3
Key passes—
Pass success rate2%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Oihan Sancet Oihan Sancet M 6.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.0
Pass success rate20%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes25
Key passes1
Pass success rate20%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0

ALAVES

Sivera Sivera G 8.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating8.7
Pass success rate13%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes27
Key passes—
Pass success rate13%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves6
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
V. Koski V. Koski D 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.3
Pass success rate18%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes22
Key passes—
Pass success rate18%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions2
Tackles1
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
N. Valentini N. Valentini D 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.3
Pass success rate16%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes22
Key passes—
Pass success rate16%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles2
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Guevara Guevara M 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.2
Pass success rate28%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes34
Key passes—
Pass success rate28%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions3
Tackles4
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
C. Benavídez C. Benavídez M 7.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes75
Rating7.0
Pass success rate13%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes14
Key passes—
Pass success rate13%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions1
Tackles4
Duels won6

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Jonny Otto Jonny Otto D 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.9
Pass success rate29%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes37
Key passes—
Pass success rate29%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
A. Rebbach A. Rebbach D 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes65
Rating6.9
Pass success rate16%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes22
Key passes—
Pass success rate16%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions2
Tackles1
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Yusi Yusi D 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes25
Rating6.9
Pass success rate3%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes4
Key passes—
Pass success rate3%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Angel Pérez Angel Pérez D 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes15
Rating6.6
Pass success rate—

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides1
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes2
Key passes—
Pass success rate—

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Carles Aleñá Carles Aleñá M 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes11
Rating6.6
Pass success rate5%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes5
Key passes—
Pass success rate5%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
L. Boyé L. Boyé F 6.5

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes75
Rating6.5
Pass success rate8%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes12
Key passes1
Pass success rate8%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
N. Tenaglia N. Tenaglia D 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.3
Pass success rate17%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled3

PASSING

Total passes22
Key passes—
Pass success rate17%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions3
Tackles2
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Pablo Ibáñez Pablo Ibáñez M 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes85
Rating6.3
Pass success rate22%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes26
Key passes1
Pass success rate22%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed3
Interceptions2
Tackles1
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Antonio Blanco Antonio Blanco M 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes15
Rating6.3
Pass success rate7%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes10
Key passes—
Pass success rate7%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
M. Díaz M. Díaz F 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes65
Rating6.2
Pass success rate12%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides1
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes14
Key passes—
Pass success rate12%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Toni Martínez Toni Martínez F 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes25
Rating6.2
Pass success rate2%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides2
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes7
Key passes—
Pass success rate2%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0