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Sun, 20 Sep 2026 — 14:15 UTC · Metropolitano Stadium

FT 2 – 1

Empirical Poisson model

Home66%
Draw20%
Away14%

Expected Goals (xG): 2.1 – 0.8

Simulation Monte Carlo

Most likely scorelines

  • 3-17%
  • 4-16%
  • 2-16%
  • 3-26%
  • 4-25%
Home72%
Draw14%
Away14%

Lineup: auto (proxy — real starting XI not yet confirmed). Not validated — backtesting against real results found these scorelines and percentages no better than simply guessing this league's usual scoreline. Shown for exploration only, not as a trustworthy forecast — Empirical (Poisson) is the primary trust source for match-outcome probability.

Astrology Experimental

Entertainment Only
Home37%
Draw37%
Away26%

Entertainment only — no established predictive validity.

Independent cross-check

Compares the Simulation pillar's own most-likely outcome against API-Football's own, independently-computed /predictions output. Informational only — this never feeds back into Simulation's probabilities, any edge calculation, or any other pillar.

DISAGREES

Our Simulation

Home72%
Draw14%
Away14%

API-Football comparison.total

Home49.8%
Away50.2%

API-Football comparison.total: home 49.8% / away 50.2%

Mahabote (Myanmar traditional astrology) — research only

Not a prediction, and not part of the Empirical, Simulation, or Astrology (KP) pillars above — shown separately for research interest only. Backtested against 323 real match lineups and 178 fixtures using team founding dates: neither the weekday-pair "Friend/Enemy" comparison nor the Angaviddha 7-category classification showed any real, usable relationship with match outcomes (correlation ≈ 0, occasionally the wrong sign). Computed here from the two teams' own founding dates only.

ဤသည်မှာ ခန့်မှန်းချက် မဟုတ်ပါ၊ အထက်ပါ Empirical၊ Simulation၊ Astrology (KP) pillar များနှင့်လည်း မပတ်သက်ပါ — သုတေသနစိတ်ဝင်စားမှုအတွက်သာ သီးခြားဖော်ပြထားခြင်း ဖြစ်ပါသည်။ ပွဲအစစ် ၃၂၃ ပွဲ၏ ကစားသမားစာရင်းများနှင့် အသင်းတည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲအသုံးပြုသော ပွဲ ၁၇၈ ပွဲတို့ကို backtest လုပ်ကြည့်ခဲ့ရာ၊ "ရက်သတ္တပတ်-မိတ်ဆွေ/ရန်သူ" နှိုင်းယှဉ်ချက်ဖြစ်စေ Angaviddha ၇-အမျိုးအစား ခွဲခြားမှုဖြစ်စေ ပွဲရလဒ်များနှင့် တကယ်အသုံးဝင်သော ဆက်စပ်မှု မတွေ့ရှိခဲ့ပါ (correlation ≈ 0၊ တစ်ခါတစ်ရံ ဆန့်ကျင်ဘက်ပင် ဖြစ်တတ်ပါသည်)။ ဤနေရာတွင် နှစ်သင်းစလုံး၏ တည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲအပေါ်သာ အခြေခံ၍ တွက်ချက်ထားပါသည်။

Not yet computed

ဤပွဲအတွက် Mahabote ကို ယခုထိ တွက်ချက်မထားသေးပါ။

Player Stats

Full box score per player who featured in this match — tap a row for the detailed breakdown.

ATLETICO MADRID

Koke Koke M 7.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes45
Rating7.9
Pass success rate62%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes64
Key passes3
Pass success rate62%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
D. Hancko D. Hancko D 7.5

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.5
Pass success rate59%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes67
Key passes1
Pass success rate59%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles3
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Cristian Romero Cristian Romero D 7.5

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes89
Rating7.5
Pass success rate54%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes56
Key passes—
Pass success rate54%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions1
Tackles—
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
G. Simeone G. Simeone M 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists1
Minutes90
Rating7.2
Pass success rate31%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides1
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes41
Key passes1
Pass success rate31%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed4
Interceptions1
Tackles4
Duels won7

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
J. David J. David F 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes62
Rating7.2
Pass success rate11%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target1
Offsides1
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes11
Key passes1
Pass success rate11%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Lee Kang-In Lee Kang-In F 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes89
Rating6.9
Pass success rate48%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes57
Key passes1
Pass success rate48%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed5
Interceptions—
Tackles2
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Álex Baena Álex Baena M 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes67
Rating6.9
Pass success rate31%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes37
Key passes—
Pass success rate31%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed3
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Marc Pubill Marc Pubill D 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes45
Rating6.9
Pass success rate22%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes25
Key passes—
Pass success rate22%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
Julián Álvarez Julián Álvarez F 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes28
Rating6.9
Pass success rate17%

ATTACKING

Shots on target2
Shots off target1
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes18
Key passes—
Pass success rate17%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
A. Lookman A. Lookman F 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes23
Rating6.7
Pass success rate13%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes14
Key passes2
Pass success rate13%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Álex Grimaldo Álex Grimaldo D 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.6
Pass success rate42%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes47
Key passes—
Pass success rate42%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed3
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Marcos Llorente Marcos Llorente M 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.6
Pass success rate77%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes81
Key passes3
Pass success rate77%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions2
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
J. Cardoso J. Cardoso M 6.5

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.5
Pass success rate64%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes68
Key passes—
Pass success rate64%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions2
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
J. Oblak J. Oblak G 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.3
Pass success rate19%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes26
Key passes—
Pass success rate19%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded1
Saves2
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Robin Le Normand Robin Le Normand D 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes8
Rating6.3
Pass success rate3%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes3
Key passes—
Pass success rate3%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
M. Hjulmand M. Hjulmand M 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes8
Rating6.3
Pass success rate3%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes3
Key passes1
Pass success rate3%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0

REAL MADRID

T. Courtois T. Courtois G 8.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating8.7
Pass success rate15%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes24
Key passes—
Pass success rate15%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded2
Saves5
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Ibrahima Konaté Ibrahima Konaté D 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.3
Pass success rate41%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes47
Key passes—
Pass success rate41%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions2
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
A. Rüdiger A. Rüdiger D 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes36
Rating7.3
Pass success rate21%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes23
Key passes—
Pass success rate21%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Y. Diomande Y. Diomande F 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes36
Rating7.3
Pass success rate9%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides1
Was fouled5

PASSING

Total passes10
Key passes—
Pass success rate9%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won9

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
E. Camavinga E. Camavinga M 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes19
Rating7.3
Pass success rate15%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes15
Key passes—
Pass success rate15%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles4
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
J. Bellingham J. Bellingham M 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes82
Rating7.2
Pass success rate24%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled3

PASSING

Total passes28
Key passes3
Pass success rate24%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions1
Tackles4
Duels won11

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
Bernardo Silva Bernardo Silva M 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists1
Minutes8
Rating7.2
Pass success rate20%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes21
Key passes1
Pass success rate20%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Kylian Mbappé Kylian Mbappé F 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.9
Pass success rate21%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides1
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes25
Key passes—
Pass success rate21%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
F. Valverde F. Valverde M 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.9
Pass success rate25%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes29
Key passes—
Pass success rate25%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
A. Tchouaméni A. Tchouaméni M 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes71
Rating6.9
Pass success rate30%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes32
Key passes—
Pass success rate30%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
A. Güler A. Güler M 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes54
Rating6.9
Pass success rate14%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled3

PASSING

Total passes20
Key passes1
Pass success rate14%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Vinícius Júnior Vinícius Júnior M 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes54
Rating6.7
Pass success rate8%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes11
Key passes—
Pass success rate8%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella D 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.3
Pass success rate42%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes48
Key passes—
Pass success rate42%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles5
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
D. Dumfries D. Dumfries D 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.3
Pass success rate16%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes24
Key passes1
Pass success rate16%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles2
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
D. Huijsen D. Huijsen D 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes52
Rating6.3
Pass success rate36%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes36
Key passes—
Pass success rate36%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions1
Tackles3
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards1