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Sat, 21 Feb 2026 — 15:00 UTC · Villa Park

FT 1 – 1

Empirical Poisson model

Not Yet Predicted

Not yet predicted — check back closer to kickoff.

ဒီပွဲအတွက် Empirical ခန့်မှန်းချက် မတွက်ချက်ရသေးပါ — ပွဲရက်နီးလာသည်နှင့် အလိုအလျောက် ပေါ်လာပါမယ်။

Simulation Monte Carlo

Pending Simulation

Not yet simulated — check back closer to kickoff.

ဒီပွဲကို Simulation (Monte Carlo) မလုပ်ရသေးပါ — ပွဲရက်နီးလာသည်နှင့် အလိုအလျောက် တွက်ချက်ပါမယ်။

Astrology Experimental

Not Yet Predicted

Not yet predicted.

ဒီပွဲအတွက် ကြယ်ဗေဒင် ခန့်မှန်းချက် မတွက်ချက်ရသေးပါ။

Independent cross-check

Compares the Simulation pillar's own most-likely outcome against API-Football's own, independently-computed /predictions output. Informational only — this never feeds back into Simulation's probabilities, any edge calculation, or any other pillar.

NO_DATA — Simulation not yet run

Mahabote (Myanmar traditional astrology) — research only

Not a prediction, and not part of the Empirical, Simulation, or Astrology (KP) pillars above — shown separately for research interest only. Backtested against 323 real match lineups and 178 fixtures using team founding dates: neither the weekday-pair "Friend/Enemy" comparison nor the Angaviddha 7-category classification showed any real, usable relationship with match outcomes (correlation ≈ 0, occasionally the wrong sign). Computed here from the two teams' own founding dates only.

ဤသည်မှာ ခန့်မှန်းချက် မဟုတ်ပါ၊ အထက်ပါ Empirical၊ Simulation၊ Astrology (KP) pillar များနှင့်လည်း မပတ်သက်ပါ — သုတေသနစိတ်ဝင်စားမှုအတွက်သာ သီးခြားဖော်ပြထားခြင်း ဖြစ်ပါသည်။ ပွဲအစစ် ၃၂၃ ပွဲ၏ ကစားသမားစာရင်းများနှင့် အသင်းတည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲအသုံးပြုသော ပွဲ ၁၇၈ ပွဲတို့ကို backtest လုပ်ကြည့်ခဲ့ရာ၊ "ရက်သတ္တပတ်-မိတ်ဆွေ/ရန်သူ" နှိုင်းယှဉ်ချက်ဖြစ်စေ Angaviddha ၇-အမျိုးအစား ခွဲခြားမှုဖြစ်စေ ပွဲရလဒ်များနှင့် တကယ်အသုံးဝင်သော ဆက်စပ်မှု မတွေ့ရှိခဲ့ပါ (correlation ≈ 0၊ တစ်ခါတစ်ရံ ဆန့်ကျင်ဘက်ပင် ဖြစ်တတ်ပါသည်)။ ဤနေရာတွင် နှစ်သင်းစလုံး၏ တည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲအပေါ်သာ အခြေခံ၍ တွက်ချက်ထားပါသည်။

Not yet computed

ဤပွဲအတွက် Mahabote ကို ယခုထိ တွက်ချက်မထားသေးပါ။

Player Stats

Full box score per player who featured in this match — tap a row for the detailed breakdown.

ASTON VILLA

Douglas Luiz Douglas Luiz M 7.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes87
Rating7.7
Pass success rate58%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes63
Key passes2
Pass success rate58%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles4
Duels won6

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Matty Cash Matty Cash D 7.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes87
Rating7.6
Pass success rate49%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes55
Key passes1
Pass success rate49%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions3
Tackles1
Duels won7

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Ross Barkley Ross Barkley M 7.5

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes29
Rating7.5
Pass success rate25%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes30
Key passes1
Pass success rate25%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won8

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
T. Abraham T. Abraham F 7.5

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes15
Rating7.5
Pass success rate2%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes4
Key passes—
Pass success rate2%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Ezri Konsa Ezri Konsa D 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.3
Pass success rate59%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes64
Key passes—
Pass success rate59%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions3
Tackles2
Duels won7

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Jadon Sancho Jadon Sancho F 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes29
Rating7.3
Pass success rate24%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes29
Key passes2
Pass success rate24%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
M. Rogers M. Rogers M 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.9
Pass success rate33%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes39
Key passes1
Pass success rate33%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Emiliano Martínez Emiliano Martínez G 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.7
Pass success rate17%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes26
Key passes—
Pass success rate17%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded1
Saves3
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Ollie Watkins Ollie Watkins F 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.6
Pass success rate12%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target1
Offsides3
Was fouled3

PASSING

Total passes17
Key passes2
Pass success rate12%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed3
Interceptions—
Tackles2
Duels won8

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Tyrone Mings Tyrone Mings D 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.6
Pass success rate59%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes66
Key passes2
Pass success rate59%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions1
Tackles—
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Amadou Onana Amadou Onana M 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes61
Rating6.6
Pass success rate28%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes33
Key passes—
Pass success rate28%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Andrés García Andrés García D 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes9
Rating6.6
Pass success rate2%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes2
Key passes—
Pass success rate2%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Ian Maatsen Ian Maatsen D 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.3
Pass success rate35%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes42
Key passes—
Pass success rate35%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles2
Duels won6

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
L. Bogarde L. Bogarde M 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes9
Rating6.3
Pass success rate3%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes4
Key passes—
Pass success rate3%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
E. Buendía E. Buendía M 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes75
Rating6.2
Pass success rate22%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes26
Key passes—
Pass success rate22%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
Leon Bailey Leon Bailey M 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes61
Rating6.2
Pass success rate15%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides1
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes20
Key passes1
Pass success rate15%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0

LEEDS

A. Stach A. Stach M 8.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes83
Rating8.3
Pass success rate9%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes13
Key passes2
Pass success rate9%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions2
Tackles—
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
E. Ampadu E. Ampadu M 7.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.7
Pass success rate23%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes28
Key passes1
Pass success rate23%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions2
Tackles5
Duels won8

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
K. Darlow K. Darlow G 7.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.7
Pass success rate18%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes31
Key passes—
Pass success rate18%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded1
Saves3
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
J. Rodon J. Rodon D 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.3
Pass success rate20%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes23
Key passes—
Pass success rate20%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles2
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
J. Justin J. Justin D 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.9
Pass success rate17%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes22
Key passes—
Pass success rate17%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions3
Tackles3
Duels won6

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
P. Struijk P. Struijk D 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.9
Pass success rate29%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides1
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes36
Key passes—
Pass success rate29%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions1
Tackles2
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Dominic Calvert-Lewin F 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.9
Pass success rate9%

ATTACKING

Shots on target2
Shots off target1
Offsides2
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes20
Key passes3
Pass success rate9%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won7

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
G. Gudmundsson G. Gudmundsson D 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes45
Rating6.9
Pass success rate7%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides1
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes11
Key passes—
Pass success rate7%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles2
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Jayden Bogle Jayden Bogle D 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.7
Pass success rate11%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes20
Key passes2
Pass success rate11%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles3
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
Sean Longstaff Sean Longstaff M 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes13
Rating6.6
Pass success rate1%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes2
Key passes1
Pass success rate1%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
B. Aaronson B. Aaronson M 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes73
Rating6.2
Pass success rate9%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes13
Key passes—
Pass success rate9%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
J. Bijol J. Bijol D 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes45
Rating6.2
Pass success rate3%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes5
Key passes—
Pass success rate3%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
L. Nmecha L. Nmecha F 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes17
Rating6.2
Pass success rate2%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides1
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes6
Key passes—
Pass success rate2%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
I. Gruev I. Gruev M 6.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.0
Pass success rate24%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes26
Key passes—
Pass success rate24%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed3
Interceptions2
Tackles3
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0