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Wed, 4 Mar 2026 — 19:30 UTC · Villa Park

FT 1 – 4

Empirical Poisson model

Not Yet Predicted

Not yet predicted — check back closer to kickoff.

ဒီပွဲအတွက် Empirical ခန့်မှန်းချက် မတွက်ချက်ရသေးပါ — ပွဲရက်နီးလာသည်နှင့် အလိုအလျောက် ပေါ်လာပါမယ်။

Simulation Monte Carlo

Pending Simulation

Not yet simulated — check back closer to kickoff.

ဒီပွဲကို Simulation (Monte Carlo) မလုပ်ရသေးပါ — ပွဲရက်နီးလာသည်နှင့် အလိုအလျောက် တွက်ချက်ပါမယ်။

Astrology Experimental

Not Yet Predicted

Not yet predicted.

ဒီပွဲအတွက် ကြယ်ဗေဒင် ခန့်မှန်းချက် မတွက်ချက်ရသေးပါ။

Independent cross-check

Compares the Simulation pillar's own most-likely outcome against API-Football's own, independently-computed /predictions output. Informational only — this never feeds back into Simulation's probabilities, any edge calculation, or any other pillar.

NO_DATA — Simulation not yet run

Mahabote (Myanmar traditional astrology) — research only

Not a prediction, and not part of the Empirical, Simulation, or Astrology (KP) pillars above — shown separately for research interest only. Backtested against 323 real match lineups and 178 fixtures using team founding dates: neither the weekday-pair "Friend/Enemy" comparison nor the Angaviddha 7-category classification showed any real, usable relationship with match outcomes (correlation ≈ 0, occasionally the wrong sign). Computed here from the two teams' own founding dates only.

ဤသည်မှာ ခန့်မှန်းချက် မဟုတ်ပါ၊ အထက်ပါ Empirical၊ Simulation၊ Astrology (KP) pillar များနှင့်လည်း မပတ်သက်ပါ — သုတေသနစိတ်ဝင်စားမှုအတွက်သာ သီးခြားဖော်ပြထားခြင်း ဖြစ်ပါသည်။ ပွဲအစစ် ၃၂၃ ပွဲ၏ ကစားသမားစာရင်းများနှင့် အသင်းတည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲအသုံးပြုသော ပွဲ ၁၇၈ ပွဲတို့ကို backtest လုပ်ကြည့်ခဲ့ရာ၊ "ရက်သတ္တပတ်-မိတ်ဆွေ/ရန်သူ" နှိုင်းယှဉ်ချက်ဖြစ်စေ Angaviddha ၇-အမျိုးအစား ခွဲခြားမှုဖြစ်စေ ပွဲရလဒ်များနှင့် တကယ်အသုံးဝင်သော ဆက်စပ်မှု မတွေ့ရှိခဲ့ပါ (correlation ≈ 0၊ တစ်ခါတစ်ရံ ဆန့်ကျင်ဘက်ပင် ဖြစ်တတ်ပါသည်)။ ဤနေရာတွင် နှစ်သင်းစလုံး၏ တည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲအပေါ်သာ အခြေခံ၍ တွက်ချက်ထားပါသည်။

Not yet computed

ဤပွဲအတွက် Mahabote ကို ယခုထိ တွက်ချက်မထားသေးပါ။

Player Stats

Full box score per player who featured in this match — tap a row for the detailed breakdown.

ASTON VILLA

Douglas Luiz Douglas Luiz M 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes63
Rating7.3
Pass success rate31%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes36
Key passes—
Pass success rate31%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
E. Buendía E. Buendía M 7.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes63
Rating7.0
Pass success rate15%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides1
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes19
Key passes1
Pass success rate15%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles2
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Leon Bailey Leon Bailey M 7.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists1
Minutes63
Rating7.0
Pass success rate4%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes6
Key passes1
Pass success rate4%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Ross Barkley Ross Barkley M 7.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes27
Rating7.0
Pass success rate25%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes28
Key passes1
Pass success rate25%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Jadon Sancho Jadon Sancho F 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes27
Rating6.9
Pass success rate21%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes22
Key passes2
Pass success rate21%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Amadou Onana Amadou Onana M 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.7
Pass success rate36%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes42
Key passes—
Pass success rate36%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Ollie Watkins Ollie Watkins F 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes71
Rating6.7
Pass success rate6%

ATTACKING

Shots on target2
Shots off target0
Offsides1
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes8
Key passes—
Pass success rate6%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
T. Abraham T. Abraham F 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes19
Rating6.7
Pass success rate2%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes3
Key passes—
Pass success rate2%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Emiliano Martínez Emiliano Martínez G 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.6
Pass success rate32%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes38
Key passes1
Pass success rate32%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded4
Saves4
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Tyrone Mings Tyrone Mings D 6.5

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.5
Pass success rate54%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes60
Key passes—
Pass success rate54%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Alysson Edward Alysson Edward F 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes27
Rating6.3
Pass success rate8%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes8
Key passes—
Pass success rate8%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Ezri Konsa Ezri Konsa D 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.2
Pass success rate49%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes50
Key passes—
Pass success rate49%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
L. Bogarde L. Bogarde M 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes45
Rating6.2
Pass success rate20%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes24
Key passes—
Pass success rate20%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
M. Rogers M. Rogers M 5.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating5.9
Pass success rate21%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target2
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes29
Key passes—
Pass success rate21%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
Ian Maatsen Ian Maatsen D 5.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating5.9
Pass success rate37%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled3

PASSING

Total passes46
Key passes1
Pass success rate37%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions4
Tackles2
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Matty Cash Matty Cash D 5.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes45
Rating5.9
Pass success rate10%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes12
Key passes—
Pass success rate10%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0

CHELSEA

João Pedro João Pedro F 9.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals3
Assists1
Minutes85
Rating9.6
Pass success rate10%

ATTACKING

Shots on target4
Shots off target1
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes18
Key passes1
Pass success rate10%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles2
Duels won6

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
Cole Palmer Cole Palmer F 8.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes85
Rating8.6
Pass success rate33%

ATTACKING

Shots on target2
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes36
Key passes3
Pass success rate33%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions2
Tackles1
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Alejandro Garnacho Alejandro Garnacho F 7.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists1
Minutes90
Rating7.6
Pass success rate27%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides1
Was fouled3

PASSING

Total passes27
Key passes6
Pass success rate27%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles4
Duels won7

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Malo Gusto Malo Gusto D 7.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists1
Minutes75
Rating7.3
Pass success rate42%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides1
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes49
Key passes1
Pass success rate42%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions1
Tackles2
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Reece James Reece James M 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.2
Pass success rate56%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes61
Key passes—
Pass success rate56%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions3
Tackles1
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Moisés Caicedo Moisés Caicedo M 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.2
Pass success rate56%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes58
Key passes—
Pass success rate56%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions1
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Enzo Fernández Enzo Fernández M 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists1
Minutes79
Rating7.2
Pass success rate42%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides—
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes45
Key passes3
Pass success rate42%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles2
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
T. Chalobah T. Chalobah D 7.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.0
Pass success rate76%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes80
Key passes—
Pass success rate76%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed2
Interceptions—
Tackles1
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella D 7.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes11
Rating7.0
Pass success rate6%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes7
Key passes1
Pass success rate6%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
J. Hato J. Hato D 6.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.9
Pass success rate54%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes57
Key passes—
Pass success rate54%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles2
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
F. Jörgensen F. Jörgensen G 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.7
Pass success rate39%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes46
Key passes—
Pass success rate39%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded1
Saves3
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
R. Lavia R. Lavia M 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes15
Rating6.7
Pass success rate10%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes11
Key passes—
Pass success rate10%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Tosin Adarabioyo Tosin Adarabioyo D 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes11
Rating6.6
Pass success rate10%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes11
Key passes—
Pass success rate10%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Andrey Santos Andrey Santos M 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes12
Rating6.3
Pass success rate3%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes4
Key passes—
Pass success rate3%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed—
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
W. Fofana W. Fofana D 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes79
Rating6.2
Pass success rate50%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes52
Key passes—
Pass success rate50%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions2
Tackles—
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
L. Delap L. Delap F 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals—
Assists0
Minutes12
Rating6.2
Pass success rate1%

ATTACKING

Shots on target—
Shots off target—
Offsides—
Was fouled—

PASSING

Total passes3
Key passes—
Pass success rate1%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded0
Saves—
Fouls committed1
Interceptions—
Tackles—
Duels won—

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0