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Mon, 12 Oct 2026 — 19:00 UTC · Coventry Building Society Arena

FT 4 – 1

Empirical Poisson model

Data Insufficient

Inconclusive — computed expected goals collapsed to zero (home_xg=0.000, away_xg=3.366) — one team has scored zero goals in every relevant match so far this season

ယခုအထိ ကစားခဲ့တဲ့ပွဲတွေမှာ တစ်သင်းသင်းက ဂိုးတစ်လုံးမှ မသွင်းနိုင်သေးတဲ့အတွက်၊ တွက်ချက်ရရှိတဲ့ မျှော်မှန်းဂိုးအရေအတွက်က 0 ဖြစ်သွားပါတယ် (home_xg=0.000, away_xg=3.366)။ ဒီလိုအခြေအနေမှာ % ပြရင် "100% သေချာပြီ" ဆိုတာမျိုး မှားယွင်းစွာ ထင်ရနိုင်လို့ ရိုးသားစွာ "Inconclusive" လို့ ပြထားတာပါ — ဂိုးစ သွင်းနိုင်လာတာနဲ့ ပြန်ပေါ်လာပါမယ်။

Simulation Monte Carlo

Data Insufficient

Inconclusive — Poisson prediction is inconclusive (computed expected goals collapsed to zero (home_xg=0.000, away_xg=3.463) — one team has scored zero goals in every relevant match so far this season), so simulation would build on an unreliable baseline

Empirical (Poisson) ပွင့်ကိုယ်တိုင် "Inconclusive" ဖြစ်နေပါတယ် — ယခုအထိ ကစားခဲ့တဲ့ပွဲတွေမှာ တစ်သင်းသင်းက ဂိုးတစ်လုံးမှ မသွင်းနိုင်သေးတဲ့အတွက်၊ တွက်ချက်ရရှိတဲ့ မျှော်မှန်းဂိုးအရေအတွက်က 0 ဖြစ်သွားပါတယ် (home_xg=0.000, away_xg=3.463)။ ဒီလိုအခြေအနေမှာ % ပြရင် "100% သေချာပြီ" ဆိုတာမျိုး မှားယွင်းစွာ ထင်ရနိုင်လို့ ရိုးသားစွာ "Inconclusive" လို့ ပြထားတာပါ — ဂိုးစ သွင်းနိုင်လာတာနဲ့ ပြန်ပေါ်လာပါမယ်။ ဒါကြောင့် Simulation ကလည်း မယုံကြည်ရသေးတဲ့ အခြေခံပေါ်မှာ တွက်ချက်မှာ မဟုတ်လို့ ဒီအတိုင်း စောင့်ထားတာပါ။

Astrology Experimental

Entertainment Only
Home64%
Draw25%
Away11%

Entertainment only — no established predictive validity.

Independent cross-check

Compares the Simulation pillar's own most-likely outcome against API-Football's own, independently-computed /predictions output. Informational only — this never feeds back into Simulation's probabilities, any edge calculation, or any other pillar.

NO_DATA — Simulation inconclusive (Poisson prediction is inconclusive (computed expected goals collapsed to zero (home_xg=0.000, away_xg=3.463) — one team has scored zero goals in every relevant match so far this season), so simulation would build on an unreliable baseline)

Mahabote (Myanmar traditional astrology) — research only

Not a prediction, and not part of the Empirical, Simulation, or Astrology (KP) pillars above — shown separately for research interest only. Backtested against 323 real match lineups and 178 fixtures using team founding dates: neither the weekday-pair "Friend/Enemy" comparison nor the Angaviddha 7-category classification showed any real, usable relationship with match outcomes (correlation ≈ 0, occasionally the wrong sign). Computed here from the two teams' own founding dates only.

ဤသည်မှာ ခန့်မှန်းချက် မဟုတ်ပါ၊ အထက်ပါ Empirical၊ Simulation၊ Astrology (KP) pillar များနှင့်လည်း မပတ်သက်ပါ — သုတေသနစိတ်ဝင်စားမှုအတွက်သာ သီးခြားဖော်ပြထားခြင်း ဖြစ်ပါသည်။ ပွဲအစစ် ၃၂၃ ပွဲ၏ ကစားသမားစာရင်းများနှင့် အသင်းတည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲအသုံးပြုသော ပွဲ ၁၇၈ ပွဲတို့ကို backtest လုပ်ကြည့်ခဲ့ရာ၊ "ရက်သတ္တပတ်-မိတ်ဆွေ/ရန်သူ" နှိုင်းယှဉ်ချက်ဖြစ်စေ Angaviddha ၇-အမျိုးအစား ခွဲခြားမှုဖြစ်စေ ပွဲရလဒ်များနှင့် တကယ်အသုံးဝင်သော ဆက်စပ်မှု မတွေ့ရှိခဲ့ပါ (correlation ≈ 0၊ တစ်ခါတစ်ရံ ဆန့်ကျင်ဘက်ပင် ဖြစ်တတ်ပါသည်)။ ဤနေရာတွင် နှစ်သင်းစလုံး၏ တည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲအပေါ်သာ အခြေခံ၍ တွက်ချက်ထားပါသည်။

No data — No founding date on file for: Coventry, Newcastle

အောက်ပါအသင်း(များ)အတွက် တည်ထောင်သည့်ရက်စွဲ မှတ်တမ်းမရှိသေးပါ — Coventry, Newcastle။ ဒီအချက်အလက်မရှိလျှင် Mahabote တွက်ချက်၍ မရနိုင်ပါ (ရက်စွဲကို အတည်မပြုဘဲ မှန်းဆ၍ မထည့်ပါ)။

Player Stats

Full box score per player who featured in this match — tap a row for the detailed breakdown.

COVENTRY

S. Mfuni S. Mfuni D 7.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes7
Rating7.6
Pass success rate0%

ATTACKING

Shots on target2
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes1
Key passes0
Pass success rate0%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions1
Tackles0
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
S. Cherif S. Cherif F 7.4

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes78
Rating7.4
Pass success rate7%

ATTACKING

Shots on target2
Shots off target1
Offsides1
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes9
Key passes0
Pass success rate7%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
E. Simms E. Simms F 7.4

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes12
Rating7.4
Pass success rate1%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes1
Key passes0
Pass success rate1%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won0

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
J. Dasilva J. Dasilva D 7.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists1
Minutes90
Rating7.2
Pass success rate26%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes28
Key passes1
Pass success rate26%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles3
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
B. Thomas-Asante B. Thomas-Asante M 7.1

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists1
Minutes90
Rating7.1
Pass success rate10%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target1
Offsides0
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes17
Key passes1
Pass success rate10%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles2
Duels won7

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Frank Onyeka Frank Onyeka M 6.8

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes12
Rating6.8
Pass success rate0%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target1
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes2
Key passes0
Pass success rate0%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won0

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
B. Thomas B. Thomas D 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.7
Pass success rate19%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes26
Key passes0
Pass success rate19%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions2
Tackles1
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
C. Rushworth C. Rushworth G 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.7
Pass success rate22%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes44
Key passes0
Pass success rate22%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves4
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won0

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi M 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes78
Rating6.6
Pass success rate21%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled2

PASSING

Total passes22
Key passes0
Pass success rate21%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions1
Tackles3
Duels won7

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
V. Torp V. Torp M 6.5

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes7
Rating6.5
Pass success rate1%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes2
Key passes1
Pass success rate1%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won0

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
M. van Ewijk M. van Ewijk D 6.4

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.4
Pass success rate11%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes16
Key passes1
Pass success rate11%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed1
Interceptions3
Tackles2
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
M. Grimes M. Grimes M 6.4

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes83
Rating6.4
Pass success rate32%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes38
Key passes0
Pass success rate32%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed2
Interceptions0
Tackles1
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
J. Rudoni J. Rudoni M 6.3

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes83
Rating6.3
Pass success rate14%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled3

PASSING

Total passes20
Key passes0
Pass success rate14%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won5

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
E. Mason-Clark E. Mason-Clark M 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes61
Rating6.2
Pass success rate6%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides1
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes11
Key passes0
Pass success rate6%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Ethan Pinnock Ethan Pinnock D 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.2
Pass success rate12%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes20
Key passes0
Pass success rate12%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles1
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
T. Sakamoto T. Sakamoto M 6.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes29
Rating6.0
Pass success rate3%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes7
Key passes0
Pass success rate3%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions1
Tackles0
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0

NEWCASTLE

Nico González Nico González M 7.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists1
Minutes90
Rating7.7
Pass success rate62%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes73
Key passes6
Pass success rate62%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed2
Interceptions1
Tackles4
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Sven Botman Sven Botman D 7.5

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals1
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating7.5
Pass success rate70%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes78
Key passes0
Pass success rate70%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won11

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Harvey Barnes Harvey Barnes M 6.7

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.7
Pass success rate21%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target2
Offsides2
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes28
Key passes4
Pass success rate21%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions1
Tackles2
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Joe Willock Joe Willock M 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes59
Rating6.6
Pass success rate24%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target5
Offsides1
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes25
Key passes1
Pass success rate24%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed2
Interceptions1
Tackles1
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
B. Touré B. Touré F 6.6

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes30
Rating6.6
Pass success rate12%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target1
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes17
Key passes0
Pass success rate12%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles2
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
William Osula William Osula F 6.4

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes12
Rating6.4
Pass success rate3%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target1
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes3
Key passes0
Pass success rate3%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won0

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
L. Miley L. Miley D 6.2

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes59
Rating6.2
Pass success rate37%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes41
Key passes0
Pass success rate37%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles2
Duels won3

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Lewis Hall Lewis Hall D 6.1

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.1
Pass success rate63%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes70
Key passes1
Pass success rate63%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions2
Tackles1
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Jacob Murphy Jacob Murphy M 6.1

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes59
Rating6.1
Pass success rate13%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target2
Offsides1
Was fouled1

PASSING

Total passes14
Key passes3
Pass success rate13%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed1
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo F 6.1

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating6.1
Pass success rate19%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target0
Offsides1
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes25
Key passes1
Pass success rate19%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed1
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Yoane Wissa Yoane Wissa M 6.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes78
Rating6.0
Pass success rate21%

ATTACKING

Shots on target1
Shots off target1
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes26
Key passes0
Pass success rate21%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed2
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
M. Thiaw M. Thiaw D 5.9

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating5.9
Pass success rate66%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes76
Key passes0
Pass success rate66%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
L. Horníček L. Horníček G 5.8

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes90
Rating5.8
Pass success rate25%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes27
Key passes0
Pass success rate25%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves2
Fouls committed1
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won0

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
A. Dedić A. Dedić D 5.8

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes31
Rating5.8
Pass success rate16%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target1
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes19
Key passes1
Pass success rate16%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions2
Tackles0
Duels won1

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Joelinton Joelinton M 5.4

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes31
Rating5.4
Pass success rate19%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes23
Key passes0
Pass success rate19%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed1
Interceptions0
Tackles1
Duels won4

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards1
Red cards0
Dan Burn Dan Burn D 0.0

STATS OVERVIEW

Goals0
Assists0
Minutes1
Rating0.0
Pass success rate1%

ATTACKING

Shots on target0
Shots off target0
Offsides0
Was fouled0

PASSING

Total passes3
Key passes0
Pass success rate1%

DEFENDING

Goals conceded—
Saves0
Fouls committed0
Interceptions0
Tackles0
Duels won2

DISCIPLINE

Yellow cards0
Red cards0